March 4, 2020
Here is a piece I wrote April 22, 2019. I stand by my comments.
I am going to go out on a limb and declare Joe Biden the winner of the 2020 presidential election. Why?
• He is currently leading in the Democratic polls. Trump’s numbers are mired around 37%, and dropping.
• His age is not a factor when compared to an old and clinically obese president.
• He will bring back the Obama voters, who defected to Trump. “Anyone but Hillary” will not be a factor.
• He will win the midwestern states that Hillary Clinton lost.
• He will receive overwhelming and united support from the other Democratic candidates, whose number one goal is to beat Trump
• Whatever issues he may have regarding his past will pale in comparison to Trump’s.
• His governmental experience dwarfs Donald Trump’s.
• He is a tough, blue collar guy, who can go toe-to-two with anyone.
• His family has a history of military service. Trump’s does not.
• His platform will emphasize issues that Americans care about like healthcare and the environment.
• His pick for Vice President will emphasize diversity, a stark comparison with Mike Pence.
• Republicans quietly want Trump to lose before he destroys the party, and will stay away from the ballot box.
• Russia will not be able to interfere.
• Numerous, ongoing investigations will continue to erode support for Trump.
• Trump will get nothing done in his last two years.
Joe Biden does not have to get everyone. Trump lost the popular vote in ‘16 by 3MM votes, and Democrats won the House in ‘18 by 8MM votes. Trump won by the slimmest of margins, and he has done nothing to improve his numbers. Trump’s tide is going out.